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Whiplash: How to Survive Our Faster Future

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The future-forward framework supplements strategy with three other core components that are necessary to build a future-ready enterprise — Innovation, Leadership and Culture. It’s not really possible to create a future strategy without strong leadership and a culture that supports rapid, ongoing innovation. Nanowires, a thousand times thinner than a human hair, pose a great possibility for future batteries. But they've always broken down when recharging. This discovery uses gold nanowires in a gel electrolyte to avoid that. In fact, these batteries were tested recharging over 200,000 times in three months and showed no degradation at all. One is the ESA's space observatory Gaia, which launched in 2013 and has been measuring the positions of around one billion stars to a high degree of accuracy. Scientists are using this to work out the distances to the stars with a technique called parallax. As Gaia orbits the sun its vantage point in space changes, much like if you close one eye and look at an object, then look with the other eye it appears in a slightly different place. So, by studying objects at different times of the year during its orbit, Gaia will enable scientists to accurately work how fast stars are moving away from our own Solar System. If you’re basing your strategy on pre-pandemic, traditional business models You need to fire your old framework.We can be sure that the disruptive COVID-19 crisis has permanently transformed our world.We cannot be sure which of the trends we discussed are temporary, and which mark the beginning of the end for certain industries and business models. Depending on what these new telescopes reveal, Beaton and Freedman could well find themselves in the midst of a mystery worthy of an Agatha Christie novel after all.

Future batteries, coming soon: Charge in seconds, last months Future batteries, coming soon: Charge in seconds, last months

Let's start by saying the Universe is big. When we look in any direction, the furthest visible regions of the Universe are estimated to be around 46 billion light years away. That's a diameter of 540 sextillion (or 54 followed by 22 zeros) miles. But this is really just our best guess – nobody knows exactly how big the Universe really is.Oxford-based company ZapGohas developed and produced the first carbon-ion battery that's ready for consumer use now. A carbon-ion battery combines the superfast charging capabilities of a supercapacitor, with the performance of a Lithium-ion battery, all while being completely recyclable. The full automation of labor group was asked: “Say an occupation becomes fully automatable when unaided machines can accomplish it better and more cheaply than human workers. Ignore aspects of occupations for which being a human is intrinsically advantageous, e.g., being accepted as a jury member. Think feasibility, not adoption. Say we have reached ‘full automation of labor’ when all occupations are fully automatable. That is, when for any occupation, machines could be built to carry out the task better and more cheaply than human workers.” This question was asked under both the fixed-probability and fixed-years framings. The study by Zhang et al. published in 2022 A discussion of the two most widely used concepts for thinking about the future of powerful AI systems – human-level AI and transformative AI – can be found in this companion article. It is important to note that the definitions of the AI systems in question differ very much across these various studies. For example, the system that Cotra speaks about would have a much more transformative impact on the world than the system that the Metaculus forecasters focus on. More details can be found in the appendix and within the respective studies. What can we learn from the forecasts?

Faster Future 2.0

Another example is Ernest Rutherford, father of nuclear physics, calling the possibility of harnessing nuclear energy "moonshine." The research paper by John Jenkin discusses why. John G. Jenkin (2011) – Atomic Energy is ‘‘Moonshine’’: What did Rutherford Really Mean?. Published in Physics in Perspective. DOI 10.1007/s00016-010-0038-1 The work-life balance equation has shifted faster than any of us could predict. The main questions now are around how the work-from-home and virtual meeting trends will fare after the crisis. We like to think of the new normal as a chance to create the new better.The chart shows the answers of 352 experts. This is from the most recent study by Katja Grace and her colleagues, conducted in the summer of 2022. 2

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